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Red107
704227.9
145214.2
940850.0
Blue54
96840.8
347333.0
999710.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618205010015020025010754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.02.3
46.048.3
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
red by 9.2
968
#12
40.82.5
42.039.5
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
Second
7042
#17
27.91.6
24.626.2
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
blue by 5.1
3473
#15
33.02.5
34.331.8
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
Third
1452
#31
14.21.6
12.414.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End-0.1
red by 4.1
9997
#33
10.13.6
15.411.8
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed