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Red124
499913.7
113844.5
68759.5
Blue102
447029.4
420147.3
119724.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96800204060120140160124102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
59.50.6
58.258.8
Auto11.2
Teleop49.1
End-1.4
red by 12.2
4201
#23
47.30.5
44.545.0
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
Second
44.50.6
43.744.3
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
red by 15.2
4470
#18
29.40.5
28.328.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
Third
4999
#32
13.70.6
13.113.7
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
blue by 10.3
1197
#14
24.10.5
21.421.9
Auto3.5
Teleop20.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsMissed