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Red98
258442.4
347333.0
704227.9
Blue124
427.7
29454.5
447029.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869305015020098124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#10
42.40.2
42.442.2
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End-0.2
blue by 12.1
294
#2
54.50.6
53.353.9
Auto9.0
Teleop43.6
End1.6
Second
3473
#15
33.00.2
31.831.6
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3
red by 3.6
4470
#18
29.40.6
28.829.4
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
Third
7042
#17
27.90.2
26.226.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 0.2
4
#30
27.70.6
27.728.3
Auto6.5
Teleop20.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned