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Qual 542023 SoCal Showdown
Red110
263745.9
999834.3
622020.8
Blue109
412337.9
519960.6
499913.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7199050150200250300350400110109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#6
45.90.3
43.3→43.6
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
blue by 14.7
5199
#11
60.60.3
62.8→62.5
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
Second
9998
#5
34.30.5
36.2→36.6
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
blue by 3.6
4123
#16
37.90.3
37.2→36.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Third
6220
#25
20.80.3
20.5→20.8
Auto1.8
Teleop16.4
End2.6
red by 7.1
4999
#32
13.70.3
13.7→13.4
Auto1.7
Teleop13.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed