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Red76
999710.1
999520.1
69656.9
Blue88
690420.9
999622.6
113844.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765304050607080901007688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.91.3
56.355.1
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 12.4
44.50.7
43.943.2
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
Second
9995
#22
20.11.7
21.820.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1
blue by 2.5
9996
#26
22.60.9
22.921.9
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End-1.1
Third
9997
#33
10.11.7
11.810.1
Auto0.8
Teleop10.4
End-1.4
blue by 10.8
6904
#27
20.90.7
21.620.9
Auto1.5
Teleop16.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed