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Red144
69656.9
704227.9
940850.0
Blue126
119724.1
420147.3
412337.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10094708090110120130140144126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
56.90.3
55.155.4
Auto8.0
Teleop51.1
End-1.8
red by 9.6
4201
#23
47.30.4
46.346.8
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
Second
50.00.4
47.748.1
Auto7.8
Teleop43.6
End-1.6
red by 12.1
4123
#16
37.90.4
36.937.4
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Third
7042
#17
27.90.3
26.026.4
Auto8.4
Teleop18.4
End1.3
red by 3.8
1197
#14
24.10.4
23.123.5
Auto3.5
Teleop20.0
End0.7