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Red109
96840.8
447029.4
263745.9
Blue111
59943.3
271031.9
999520.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9777204060120140160109111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.1
43.643.5
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
red by 2.6
599
#19
43.30.4
43.043.4
Auto9.5
Teleop32.8
End0.8
Second
968
#12
40.80.1
38.538.4
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
red by 8.9
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Third
4470
#18
29.40.1
29.429.4
Auto7.6
Teleop21.6
End0.5
red by 9.3
9995
#22
20.10.4
20.120.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End-1.1