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Red105
999834.3
519960.6
427.7
Blue143
432242.5
347333.0
113844.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101100708090110120130140105143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#11
60.60.6
62.561.9
Auto9.1
Teleop51.1
End-1.2
red by 16.0
44.50.3
43.243.5
Auto7.9
Teleop34.9
End1.9
Second
34.30.8
36.635.9
Auto5.3
Teleop30.7
End-1.9
blue by 8.2
4322
#13
42.50.3
41.141.4
Auto7.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
Third
4
#30
27.70.6
28.327.7
Auto6.5
Teleop20.1
End1.6
blue by 5.3
3473
#15
33.00.3
31.631.9
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End0.3