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Red132
412337.9
420147.3
119724.1
Blue138
263745.9
999920.2
96840.8
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9977050150200250132138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#23
47.30.5
46.847.3
Auto7.6
Teleop36.9
End2.3
red by 1.4
45.90.6
43.544.2
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.2
Second
4123
#16
37.90.5
37.437.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.9
End2.1
blue by 2.9
968
#12
40.80.6
38.439.1
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End1.9
Third
1197
#14
24.10.5
23.524.1
Auto3.5
Teleop20.0
End0.7
red by 3.8
9999
#29
20.20.8
17.318.1
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End-1.9