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Red161
69642.5
3647B32.8
97367.9
Blue181
59944.2
265959.4
364750.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114127050100150200250161181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
67.90.3
67.267.5
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
red by 8.5
59.40.6
59.259.7
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
Second
696
#25
42.50.3
41.842.1
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
blue by 7.8
3647
#11
50.30.6
50.150.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
Third
32.80.4
32.332.8
Auto5.3
Teleop28.9
End-1.4
blue by 11.4
599
#16
44.20.6
43.944.5
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2