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Red152
69642.5
601725.8
97367.9
Blue143
59944.2
265959.4
364750.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107130050150200152143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
67.90.4
67.567.9
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
red by 8.5
59.40.3
59.759.4
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
Second
696
#25
42.50.4
42.142.5
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
blue by 7.8
3647
#11
50.30.3
50.650.3
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
Third
6017
#26
25.80.4
25.425.8
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End0.2
blue by 18.3
599
#16
44.20.3
44.544.2
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2