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Qual 142023 Tidal Tumble
Red65
928212.2
601725.8
441551.7
Blue149
715763.5
588718.2
265959.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110505015020025065149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#9
51.71.9
53.9→52.0
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End2.5
blue by 11.8
7157
#2
63.50.9
54.2→55.2
Auto10.2
Teleop52.4
End-0.5
Second
6017
#26
25.81.9
26.0→24.1
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End0.2
blue by 33.6
2659
#3
59.40.9
52.4→53.4
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
Third
9282
#39
12.21.9
14.1→12.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End-0.5
blue by 6.1
5887
#20
18.20.9
13.3→14.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned