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Red63
741529.4
58930.2
425.1
Blue131
519972.7
59944.2
512423.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57126010015020025063131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#28
30.20.5
22.121.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.9
End3.1
blue by 42.5
72.70.3
69.168.8
Auto8.4
Teleop65.5
End-1.8
Second
7415
#12
29.40.5
22.622.1
Auto4.8
Teleop23.0
End1.7
blue by 14.8
599
#16
44.20.3
42.041.7
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2
Third
4
#43
25.10.5
26.025.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End-0.6
red by 1.6
5124
#31
23.50.3
25.224.9
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed