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Red132
432242.3
113848.7
312841.6
Blue24
928212.2
6647B10.3
69642.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10143015020013224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#14
48.71.2
44.645.8
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3
red by 6.2
696
#25
42.53.1
49.146.0
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
Second
42.31.2
38.239.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
red by 30.1
9282
#39
12.23.1
12.29.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End-0.5
Third
3128
#15
41.61.2
31.232.4
Auto6.8
Teleop36.0
End-1.0
red by 31.2
10.35.2
9.74.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.6
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsMissed