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Qual 202023 Tidal Tumble
Red113
3647B32.8
265959.4
392515.4
Blue90
386327.7
741529.4
4414B53.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83805060709010011012011390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#3
59.41.0
53.4→54.4
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
red by 5.9
4414B
#7
53.50.3
34.4→34.6
Auto6.4
Teleop49.1
End-2.1
Second
3647B
#21
32.81.7
24.1→25.9
Auto5.3
Teleop28.9
End-1.4
red by 3.4
7415
#12
29.40.2
22.1→22.3
Auto4.8
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Third
3925
#30
15.41.0
19.8→20.9
Auto1.4
Teleop14.4
End-0.2
blue by 12.4
3863
#35
27.70.2
31.0→31.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned