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Qual 212023 Tidal Tumble
Red127
519972.7
800616.6
588718.2
Blue119
119724.8
441467.6
3128B37.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79774060100120127119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#1
72.71.7
68.8→70.4
Auto8.4
Teleop65.5
End-1.8
red by 5.2
4414
#13
67.60.9
67.8→68.7
Auto13.1
Teleop54.5
End-0.5
Second
5887
#20
18.21.7
14.2→15.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.4
blue by 19.4
3128B
#17
37.61.4
14.5→15.9
Auto7.9
Teleop31.4
End-1.8
Third
8006
#24
16.61.7
14.1→15.8
Auto1.6
Teleop14.9
End0.3
blue by 8.2
1197
#38
24.80.9
23.8→24.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.1
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed