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Qual 292023 Tidal Tumble
Red89
4B15.8
375918.3
908450.2
Blue46
119724.8
664723.7
512423.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5955203040507080908946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#22
50.21.2
44.1→45.3
Auto10.8
Teleop35.9
End3.4
red by 25.4
1197
#38
24.81.6
24.7→23.1
Auto4.9
Teleop21.1
End-1.2
Second
3759
#33
18.31.2
16.8→18.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.0
End0.1
blue by 5.3
6647
#29
23.71.6
21.0→19.4
Auto2.7
Teleop21.7
End-0.5
Third
4B
#10
15.82.0
10.2→12.2
Auto1.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.4
blue by 7.7
5124
#31
23.51.6
24.0→22.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed