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Red139
312841.6
715763.5
Blue96
588718.2
432242.3
696B29.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79530204010012014016013996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.52.8
54.156.9
Auto10.2
Teleop52.4
End-0.5
red by 21.2
42.31.2
38.439.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
Second
3128
#15
41.62.8
33.135.9
Auto6.8
Teleop36.0
End-1.0
red by 12.4
696B
#32
29.12.1
23.926.0
Auto5.0
Teleop26.2
End-1.9
Third
9.54.6
5.19.8
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End-1.6
blue by 8.7
5887
#20
18.21.2
15.216.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned