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Qual 582023 Tidal Tumble
Red167
69642.5
432242.3
519972.7
Blue128
441551.7
392515.4
908450.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125101406080140160180167128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#1
72.70.9
72.7→73.6
Auto8.4
Teleop65.5
End-1.8
red by 21.1
4415
#9
51.70.7
51.2→51.8
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End2.5
Second
696
#25
42.50.9
39.9→40.7
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
blue by 7.6
9084
#22
50.20.7
47.3→47.9
Auto10.8
Teleop35.9
End3.4
Third
4322
#6
42.30.9
41.6→42.5
Auto7.8
Teleop33.8
End0.8
red by 26.9
3925
#30
15.40.7
14.7→15.4
Auto1.4
Teleop14.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned