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Qual 592023 Tidal Tumble
Red136
364750.3
1148B17.3
35967.6
Blue154
601725.8
312841.6
265959.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11587050100150136154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
67.60.1
68.4→68.5
Auto11.6
Teleop55.2
End-0.8
red by 8.2
2659
#3
59.42.4
55.6→58.0
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
Second
3647
#11
50.30.1
48.8→48.9
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
red by 8.8
3128
#15
41.62.4
39.4→41.8
Auto6.8
Teleop36.0
End-1.0
Third
1148B
#42
17.30.2
17.2→17.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.4
blue by 8.5
6017
#26
25.82.4
22.6→25.1
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned