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Red157
715763.5
58930.2
441467.6
Blue171
908450.2
4414B53.5
113848.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911950100150200250157171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
67.60.5
68.067.6
Auto13.1
Teleop54.5
End-0.5
red by 14.1
53.50.5
51.752.2
Auto6.4
Teleop49.1
End-2.1
Second
63.50.5
63.963.5
Auto10.2
Teleop52.4
End-0.5
red by 13.3
9084
#22
50.20.4
48.849.2
Auto10.8
Teleop35.9
End3.4
Third
589
#28
30.20.5
30.730.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.9
End3.1
blue by 18.5
1138
#14
48.70.4
47.347.7
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3