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Red210
364750.3
265959.4
59944.2
Blue197
908450.2
4414B53.5
113848.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124122100140160180200210197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.7
58.559.2
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
red by 5.9
53.51.3
52.253.5
Auto6.4
Teleop49.1
End-2.1
Second
3647
#11
50.30.7
49.450.1
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
red by 0.2
9084
#22
50.21.0
49.250.2
Auto10.8
Teleop35.9
End3.4
Third
599
#16
44.20.7
43.243.9
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2
blue by 4.5
1138
#14
48.71.0
47.748.7
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3