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Red157
35967.6
3512B32.8
519972.7
Blue162
97367.9
3647B32.8
69642.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811150100200157162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.6
73.873.2
Auto8.4
Teleop65.5
End-1.8
red by 4.8
973
#5
67.90.5
66.767.2
Auto14.7
Teleop49.0
End3.5
Second
359
#4
67.60.6
68.768.1
Auto11.6
Teleop55.2
End-0.8
red by 25.1
696
#25
42.50.5
41.341.8
Auto6.2
Teleop38.9
End-2.4
Third
32.80.7
34.133.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.8
End1.0
red by 0.1
32.80.7
31.732.4
Auto5.3
Teleop28.9
End-1.4