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Red175
715763.5
664723.7
441467.6
Blue183
59944.2
265959.4
364750.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122122120130140150170175183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
67.60.5
67.668.1
Auto13.1
Teleop54.5
End-0.5
red by 8.2
59.40.8
58.559.2
Auto9.6
Teleop48.5
End-0.3
Second
63.50.5
63.564.0
Auto10.2
Teleop52.4
End-0.5
red by 13.2
3647
#11
50.30.8
49.450.1
Auto13.1
Teleop37.7
End-1.1
Third
6647
#29
23.70.5
23.223.7
Auto2.7
Teleop21.7
End-0.5
blue by 20.5
599
#16
44.20.8
43.244.0
Auto9.8
Teleop33.8
End0.2