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Red157
35967.6
3512B32.8
519972.7
Blue180
908450.2
4414B53.5
113848.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511550100200157180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.4
73.272.7
Auto8.4
Teleop65.5
End-1.8
red by 19.2
53.51.0
50.751.7
Auto6.4
Teleop49.1
End-2.1
Second
359
#4
67.60.4
68.167.6
Auto11.6
Teleop55.2
End-0.8
red by 17.5
9084
#22
50.20.8
48.048.8
Auto10.8
Teleop35.9
End3.4
Third
32.80.5
33.432.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.8
End1.0
blue by 15.8
1138
#14
48.70.8
46.647.3
Auto7.1
Teleop41.9
End-0.3