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Red46
513623.1
183623.9
800526.7
Blue89
699529.2
359824.2
606023.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63712040801004689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#14
26.71.5
19.017.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End7.1
blue by 2.4
6995
#22
29.22.6
22.625.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.4
End5.2
Second
1836
#21
23.91.5
21.520.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End7.4
blue by 0.2
3598
#32
24.22.6
21.524.2
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
Third
5136
#28
23.11.5
19.417.8
Auto10.1
Teleop6.3
End6.6
red by 0.1
6060
#24
23.02.6
21.123.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned