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Red66
388025.1
586917.8
908440.1
Blue27
416016.9
800610.8
351242.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54680204060801001201406627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9084
#17
40.131.9
50.218.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.3
End7.8
blue by 2.3
3512
#13
42.43.8
26.322.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
3880
#12
25.11.5
18.720.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.9
red by 8.2
4160
#42
16.93.8
17.914.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End7.6
Third
5869
#16
17.81.5
16.618.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End4.4
red by 6.9
8006
#45
10.83.8
17.513.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed