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Red100
853312.8
528521.9
441460.1
Blue80
271026.4
693418.1
138830.3
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9359020408012014016010080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.3
50.651.9
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End8.1
red by 29.7
30.32.3
22.124.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End8.3
Second
5285
#19
21.91.9
18.120.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.3
End6.4
blue by 4.5
2710
#26
26.42.3
20.723.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End6.8
Third
8533
#35
12.81.9
14.116.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End2.5
blue by 5.3
6934
#41
18.12.3
16.618.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned