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Red119
741516.2
448153.0
732322.9
Blue36
423.9
67647.8
157228.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9058020408010012014016011936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.9
42.545.4
Auto13.5
Teleop31.7
End7.8
red by 24.8
28.11.7
23.622.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End8.2
Second
7323
#18
22.94.3
19.623.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.2
End8.6
blue by 1.0
4
#30
23.91.8
18.917.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End4.2
Third
7415
#36
16.24.3
18.222.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.8
End4.1
red by 8.4
6764
#44
7.82.5
16.113.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed