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Red68
388025.1
469828.4
392516.8
Blue44
732715.7
271026.4
567820.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676002040801001201406844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#40
28.40.4
20.920.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End5.1
red by 2.0
2710
#26
26.41.4
23.021.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.7
End6.8
Second
3880
#12
25.10.4
20.319.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.9
red by 5.0
5678
#43
20.21.4
16.915.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End7.3
Third
3925
#29
16.80.4
20.520.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End3.0
red by 1.2
7327
#37
15.71.4
17.215.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed