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Red223
25484.1
519960.9
167884.2
Blue206
546065.9
161965.6
291071.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17415580100120140200220240223206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.20.2
84.384.4
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 12.4
71.80.3
71.872.2
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
Second
254
#3
84.10.2
84.284.4
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 18.2
5460
#20
65.90.3
65.966.2
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Third
5199
#26
60.90.2
61.061.1
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
blue by 4.8
1619
#28
65.60.3
65.766.0
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5