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Red160
603675.1
204667.1
594067.2
Blue176
546065.9
60459.6
291071.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16815850100200250160176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.10.8
75.975.1
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
red by 3.3
71.80.3
72.171.8
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
Second
5940
#30
67.20.8
68.067.2
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
red by 1.4
5460
#20
65.90.3
66.265.9
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Third
2046
#19
67.10.8
67.967.1
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
red by 7.5
604
#23
59.60.3
59.959.6
Auto11.2
Teleop45.6
End1.6