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Red177
97158.2
519960.9
167151.3
Blue176
803352.5
603675.1
167884.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14920550100250177176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#26
60.91.3
57.859.2
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
blue by 23.3
84.21.6
78.276.6
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
Second
971
#29
58.21.3
55.156.5
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
blue by 16.9
75.11.6
73.772.1
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
Third
1671
#27
51.31.3
44.145.4
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
blue by 1.3
8033
#37
52.51.6
59.958.3
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned