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Red204
69652.2
84648.1
14867.1
Blue165
427061.7
11543.4
594067.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15718650100200250204165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#14
67.12.7
66.168.8
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
blue by 0.2
5940
#30
67.20.9
72.071.1
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
Second
696
#2
52.22.7
46.048.7
Auto9.4
Teleop43.1
End0.2
blue by 9.6
61.70.9
60.359.4
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9
Third
846
#17
48.12.7
47.950.6
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End-1.5
red by 4.7
115
#41
43.40.9
51.850.9
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed