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Qual 122023 Chezy Champs
Red179
384763.8
161965.6
541947.2
Blue150
473854.7
153862.7
186851.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161184100150200250179150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#28
65.61.0
65.3→66.3
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5
red by 2.9
1538
#24
62.71.7
62.8→61.1
Auto11.6
Teleop49.2
End0.8
Second
3847
#9
63.81.0
51.9→52.9
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
red by 9.1
4738
#33
54.71.7
59.8→58.1
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
Third
5419
#11
47.21.0
44.0→45.0
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
blue by 4.1
1868
#34
51.31.7
59.9→58.2
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned