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Red167
204667.1
35963.4
425556.9
Blue189
291071.8
167884.2
69455.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189187140150160170180200210220167189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#19
67.10.9
73.572.6
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
blue by 17.1
84.20.1
78.378.2
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
Second
359
#15
63.40.9
60.759.8
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
blue by 8.4
71.80.1
75.375.2
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
Third
4255
#36
56.90.9
61.160.2
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
red by 1.5
694
#13
55.40.1
51.551.4
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned