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Red191
25484.1
68752.6
58162.8
Blue194
366354.7
347667.9
449968.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186175100120140160200220240191194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
84.10.6
75.976.6
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 15.6
4499
#18
68.51.4
61.562.9
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
Second
581
#22
62.80.6
61.762.3
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3
blue by 5.0
67.91.4
63.564.9
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
Third
687
#32
52.60.6
53.353.9
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End0.7
blue by 2.1
3663
#25
54.71.4
56.557.8
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned