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Red149
265952.1
196737.4
353851.9
Blue168
60459.6
176852.3
546065.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13218250100150200250149168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#35
52.10.0
60.960.9
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
blue by 13.8
5460
#20
65.90.4
61.260.8
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Second
3538
#21
51.90.0
42.442.5
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1
blue by 7.7
604
#23
59.60.4
62.762.3
Auto11.2
Teleop45.6
End1.6
Third
1967
#39
37.40.0
35.235.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
blue by 14.9
1768
#12
52.30.4
55.555.1
Auto8.0
Teleop41.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned