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Red123
11460.2
364750.6
715756.1
Blue151
167151.3
207567.5
441471.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169185050100150200250300123151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#16
60.23.3
56.052.7
Auto11.3
Teleop45.9
End0.5
blue by 11.6
71.83.0
67.764.7
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
Second
7157
#31
56.13.3
62.158.8
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
blue by 11.4
2075
#10
67.53.0
71.168.1
Auto15.5
Teleop46.9
End1.3
Third
3647
#38
50.63.3
60.056.7
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End-0.2
blue by 0.7
1671
#27
51.33.0
47.144.1
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned