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Red193
153862.7
196737.4
441471.8
Blue145
207567.5
425556.9
84648.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156164100120140180200220193145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.5
64.766.1
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
red by 4.2
2075
#10
67.51.5
68.166.6
Auto15.5
Teleop46.9
End1.3
Second
1538
#24
62.71.5
61.162.5
Auto11.6
Teleop49.2
End0.8
red by 5.8
4255
#36
56.91.5
60.258.7
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
Third
1967
#39
37.41.5
35.336.7
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
blue by 10.7
846
#17
48.11.5
50.649.1
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed