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Red178
427061.7
473854.7
366354.7
Blue173
519960.9
364750.6
69455.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17415350100200178173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.1
59.459.3
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9
red by 0.9
5199
#26
60.90.7
59.259.8
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
Second
4738
#33
54.70.1
58.158.0
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
blue by 0.7
694
#13
55.40.7
51.452.1
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
Third
3663
#25
54.70.1
57.857.8
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
red by 4.1
3647
#38
50.60.7
56.757.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned