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Red173
14867.1
204667.1
265952.1
Blue137
541947.2
68752.6
167151.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194128050100150250173137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#14
67.11.2
68.867.6
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
red by 14.5
687
#32
52.60.6
50.349.7
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End0.7
Second
2046
#19
67.11.2
72.671.4
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
red by 15.8
1671
#27
51.30.6
45.444.8
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Third
2659
#35
52.11.2
61.360.2
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
red by 4.9
5419
#11
47.20.6
45.044.5
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned