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Red80
69455.4
68752.6
135145.2
Blue153
715756.1
594067.2
69652.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167198010030040050080153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#13
55.45.7
57.251.5
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
blue by 11.8
5940
#30
67.23.0
75.072.0
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
Second
687
#32
52.65.7
58.953.3
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End0.7
blue by 3.5
7157
#31
56.13.0
65.162.1
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
Third
1351
#40
45.25.7
52.847.1
Auto7.1
Teleop36.2
End0.5
blue by 7.0
696
#2
52.23.0
49.046.0
Auto9.4
Teleop43.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsMissed97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed