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Red191
265952.1
167884.2
161965.6
Blue141
11460.2
366354.7
196737.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208150100250300191141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.20.0
78.378.3
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 24.0
114
#16
60.20.4
56.456.0
Auto11.3
Teleop45.9
End0.5
Second
1619
#28
65.60.0
65.365.3
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5
red by 11.0
3663
#25
54.70.4
56.956.5
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
Third
2659
#35
52.10.0
60.960.9
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
red by 14.7
1967
#39
37.40.4
35.735.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned