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Qual 42023 Chezy Champs
Red198
186851.3
58162.8
546065.9
Blue169
803352.5
97158.2
441471.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183194050100150250300350400198169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#20
65.90.6
60.5→61.2
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
blue by 5.9
4414
#8
71.81.3
69.0→67.7
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
Second
581
#22
62.80.6
61.0→61.7
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3
red by 4.7
971
#29
58.21.3
56.4→55.1
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
Third
1868
#34
51.30.6
59.3→59.9
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End1.5
blue by 1.3
8033
#37
52.51.3
61.2→59.9
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsMissed