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Red190
546065.9
68752.6
161965.6
Blue214
425556.9
427061.7
167884.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147179050100200250300190214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#20
65.91.3
59.660.9
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
blue by 18.3
84.21.7
77.779.4
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
Second
1619
#28
65.61.3
63.364.6
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5
red by 3.9
61.71.7
56.958.7
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9
Third
687
#32
52.61.3
49.751.0
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End0.7
blue by 4.4
4255
#36
56.91.7
59.961.6
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned