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Red176
69652.2
207567.5
366354.7
Blue197
541947.2
97158.2
14867.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16514880100120140180200220176197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#10
67.50.2
68.468.2
Auto15.5
Teleop46.9
End1.3
red by 0.5
148
#14
67.12.6
65.668.2
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
Second
3663
#25
54.70.2
59.659.5
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
blue by 3.5
971
#29
58.22.6
52.455.0
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
Third
696
#2
52.20.2
52.051.8
Auto9.4
Teleop43.1
End0.2
red by 5.0
5419
#11
47.22.6
42.244.8
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned