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Red207
153862.7
25484.1
69455.4
Blue121
186851.3
265952.1
803352.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16915450100200250300207121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
84.11.6
79.981.4
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 31.6
8033
#37
52.53.4
60.356.9
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End1.3
Second
1538
#24
62.71.6
61.262.8
Auto11.6
Teleop49.2
End0.8
red by 10.7
2659
#35
52.13.4
58.955.6
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
Third
694
#13
55.41.6
50.251.8
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
red by 4.2
1868
#34
51.33.4
60.056.7
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed