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Red211
384763.8
204667.1
167884.2
Blue121
715756.1
196737.4
11543.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17711750100150200250211121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.21.4
79.480.8
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 28.1
7157
#31
56.11.2
61.660.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
Second
2046
#19
67.11.4
64.565.9
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
red by 23.6
115
#41
43.41.2
45.244.0
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End0.3
Third
63.81.4
55.757.1
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
red by 26.4
1967
#39
37.41.2
34.533.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned