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Red164
541947.2
427061.7
176852.3
Blue140
135145.2
425556.9
364750.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144139100120160180164140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.7
58.759.3
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9
red by 4.8
4255
#36
56.90.8
61.660.8
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
Second
1768
#12
52.30.7
50.551.2
Auto8.0
Teleop41.4
End0.8
red by 1.7
3647
#38
50.60.8
53.352.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End-0.2
Third
5419
#11
47.20.7
44.845.5
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
red by 2.0
1351
#40
45.20.8
46.145.2
Auto7.1
Teleop36.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned